MLB Jock MKT Pick ‘Em – April 17th – Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres

Austin Riley Over 0.5 Runs

Austin Riley of the Atlanta Braves is on a hot streak that shows no signs of slowing down. He has scored 7 runs in his last 6 games and is currently riding one of the longest hitting streaks in the MLB this year, reaching base in every game played since April 9th. Considering his recent performance and the matchup against the San Diego Padres, take the over on Riley’s 0.5 runs scored prop bet for tonight’s game.

On Saturday, Riley reached base five times and drove in a run against the Padres. He’s hit safely in seven straight games and has knocked in a run in five straight. This impressive performance has earned him a spot in the conversation for the National League MVP honors this year.

To add to his favorable matchup against Musgrove, Riley will also can take advantage of the young left-handed pitcher Ryan Weathers, who is making only his third career start. Weathers is only 23 years old and has limited experience pitching at the Major League level. He has struggled with his command in his previous two starts, walking five batters in just over nine innings pitched. This youth and inconsistency could be a significant factor in Riley’s potential to score runs tonight, as he looks to capitalize on Weathers’ mistakes and continue his impressive run.

Riley and the over 0.5 runs is our play tonight.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 0.5 Runs

Ronald Acuna Jr. is one of the most talented and dangerous players in the MLB right now, and his recent form only confirms this. Over the past three games, he has 5 hits and 6 runs with a home run and a walk. On Sunday, he even stole a base and scored a run against the Royals. Considering his current hot streak and the matchup against the San Diego Padres, I recommend taking the over on Acuna’s .5 runs scored prop bet for tonight’s game.

Acuna’s performance on Sunday was particularly impressive, as he took Royals closer Aroldis Chapman deep for a double before immediately stealing second base. Acuna has seven stolen bases on the season, making him one of the most potent base runners in the league. Moreover, his excellent form at the plate has him slashing .373/.455/.567 with three home runs and 11 RBIs through 16 games. With his dominant speed and potent hitting ability, Acuna has the potential to score multiple runs in any given game. 

Additionally, he has reached base safely in six of his last seven games, proving his consistency and reliability as a top player.   Furthermore, the Padres’ starting pitcher for tonight’s game, Ryan Weathers, is a left-handed pitcher with limited experience at the Major League level. This could be a favorable matchup for Acuna, who is known to excel against left-handed pitching. 

Considering Acuna’s current form, his exceptional base-running abilities, and the potential for a favorable matchup against Weathers, I’m riding with the over on Acuna’s 0.5 runs scored prop bet for tonight’s game. 

Ryan Weathers Over 3.5 strikeouts

Ryan Weathers is proving he has the command on the mound to be a major piece to this Padres pitching staff.  Weathers, a 21-year-old left-hander, has been a bright spot for the Padres this season, boasting a 1-0 record and a 2.70 ERA in his first two starts. In those two starts, he’s struck out 5 batters in just 10 innings of work.

Tonight, Weathers will be facing a Braves lineup that has been prone to strikeouts this year, ranking 27 out of 30 teams with nearly 10 strikeouts per game.  Weathers has what it takes to record at least four strikeouts in this game. One factor working in Weathers’ favor against the hard swinging Braves is his fastball velocity. According to Statcast, Weathers’ average fastball velocity this season is 93.5 mph, which ranks in the 71st percentile among MLB pitchers. His ability to throw his fastball for strikes and generate swings and misses with his secondary pitches could lead to a high strikeout total tonight. 3.5 is an extremely low line for the young pitcher.

Hammer the over 3.5 strikeouts on Weathers tonight.

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