Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks
Draymond Green Over 15.5 Points + Assists
The Warriors have one of the worst road records in the league, but just got their first W since January after playing in Houston on Monday night. Draymond Green is an integral part of the Warriors offense even if he doesn’t get the recognition and attention that the other Warriors’ stars command. He quietly puts up solid numbers and against a Dallas team that has one of the league’s worst defenses, I expect Draymond to crush this points + assists line tonight.
In four of his last six games, Draymond has surpassed the 15.5 points + assists number. Draymond is averaging 14.5 PPG vs Dallas this season and 6.5 Assists this season. What is even more impressive is he is shooting 52% field goals against the Mavericks and most of these opportunities are coming from high percentage shots around the rim as the other Warriors stars are commanding most of the defensive attention.
Draymond is playing 30+ minutes per game so will have a lot of opportunity on the offensive end to facilitate the offense and to score.
We’re going over on Draymond’s Points + Assists line tonight against the Mavericks.
Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3-Pointers
Klay Thompson is shooting almost 40% from beyond the arc in the Warriors last ten contests and he is shooting the long ball with high frequency. In the last five games alone, Klay has attempted 13, 9, 7, 8 and 14 3-pointers, while averaging just over 33 minutes per game.
Against an extremely poor Mavericks defense that is going to be all over Steph Curry, Klay is going to get a ton of looks tonight and could hit this 3.5 line as early as the first half of the game if he gets hot. Klay just went 5-13 on Monday night against the Rockets.
Klay is averaging 30% FG percentage against the Mavericks this season, so I can see a game where he shoots high volume and gets a lot of touches.
Hammer the over tonight for Klay going over 3.5 3-Pointers.