NBA Jock MKT Pick ‘Em – March 6th – Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat

We went 2 for 2 yesterday in our Pick’Em picks when we absolutely crushed the overs for the Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant point lines. We’re back tonight with some value we see in the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat game.

Jimmy Butler Over 1.5 Steals

Arguably the best lock down defender in the NBA, Butler is putting the league on notice by stringing together his strongest defensive performance of his career since the All Star break.  Averaging 2.0 steals per game this season, he has recorded 9 steals over his last four games. Jimmy Butler was able to take the ball away 4 times against the 76ers on the road last week and is coming off back to back home games where the veteran guard also had 4 steals combined against the Knicks and the Hawks .

The smart money is on Butler to hammer the over on steals tonight against a Hawks offense ranked third worst in the league turning the ball over and against the same lineup he faced on Saturday night when he recorded 2 steals easily.

Bam Adebayo Under 20 Points

Heat All-Star Bam Adebayo has been able to increase his PPG every season since entering the league, now averaging 21.3 PPG this season. However, do not trust his over on points tonight. Adebayo scored 30 points on Saturday against the Hawks, two shy of his season high. While this may seam like an appealing over, Bam has failed to record back to back games of over 21 points since January 6th and has only scored 20+  points two times since February 11th.

With Tyler Herro back in the lineup, Bam is getting significantly less touches on the offensive end and his role will be more focused on getting rebounds and exerting energy on the defensive end against a Hawks team that can light it up when shots are falling.

We’re going under on Bam points tonight.

Tyler Herro Over 2.5 3 -Pointers made

Now that Herro is back from injury, he is going to remind us why he was a first round pick as a sharpshooter out of Kentucky just a couple of years ago. Herro has not been shy from deep since the All-Star break as his average has slowly been climbing. Herro went 3-9 against the Hawks last night from the three and 5 for 8 the night before, so the over here is a safe bet when the Heat match up against Hawks for the second time since Saturday night.

The Hawks have one of the weakest defensive backcourts in the NBA this year and with Herro shooting at such high volumes from three, the smart money is that he should easily be able to crush this over 2.5 3-Pointer line on his home court.

We are going to hammer the over tonight. Let’s cash.

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