NBA Jock MKT Pick ‘Em – March 10th – Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat

Tyler Herro Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made

I’m surprised at how low the 2.5 3-Pointers made line is for Tyler Herro tonight as he has been consistently surpassing this mark in Miami’s last ten games. 

In this 10-game run, Herro has hit 3+ 3-Pointers 7 times. The rising Heat star shoots from deep at extremely high volume, averaging 8 attempts and even shooting as many as 12 3-pointers in a recent game against Charlotte. 

Combine the minutes that Herro is logging, having only played less than 35 minutes one time in the last ten games, and this gives us ample opportunity for Herro to touch the ball on the offensive end during Heat possessions and do what he does best – hit three pointers. 

We’re going big on the over 2.5 3-Point line for Herro tonight at home against a Cleveland defense that is big down low with Jarett Allen and Evan Mobley. This will force the Heat to get hot from outside of the paint to win this game so Herro’s responsibility increases even more so tonight in a highly contested Eastern Conference matchup. 

Evan Mobley Over 25 Points + Rebounds

Evan Mobley’s importance to the Cavaliers is increasing by the day. The stating Power Forward has seen his minutes go from high 20’s to mid 30’s as the Cavaliers are simply a better team with him on the floor. 

As of late, Mobley has been a double-double machine and has hit the double-double mark three times in the last four games. In the previous five game stretch, Mobley pulled down 9 rebounds in four of those contests. Despite not hitting the 10-rebound mark, Mobley can still pad the stat sheet. 

25 Points + Rebounds seems like a very realistic line for Mobley to be able to reach against a Heat team that is thin on the front line. Aside from Bam Adebayo, Cody Zeller is the next available big man tonight with Kevin Love listed as day to day. Add the fact that Bam is an inconsistent rebounder as the Heat center and even goes through games only getting 1 rebound, the opportunity on the offensive and defensive end for Mobley to get both points and rebounds tonight will be in plenty. 

Let’s hammer the over tonight and cash this line. 

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