NBA Jock MKT Pick ‘Em – April 27th – Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Over 18.5 Pts + Rebs

Clint Capela has crushed this 18.5 line in his last 10 games and given his recent performance of 22.5 total average here, I am surprised at how low this points and rebounds line is tonight. In his last 10 games, Capela is averaging 12.5 points and 10.5 rebounds and his rebound line increases in Atlanta home games as he averages nearly 12 rebounds on his homecourt. 

The Hawks have turned this series around with a huge win on the road in game 4. With the series shifting back to Atlanta, I expect every Hawks key player to make an impact tonight. This is a win or go home game for the Hawks and Capela’s size will be needed on the boards and around the paint for scoring in order for Atlanta to win and even this series to force a Game 7.

With Capela averaging 27 minutes per game, he has plenty of opportunity on both ends of the court for us to hit the 18.5 line and given his recent rebound average at home, Capela would only need 6 points for us to cash.

We’re riding with the over 18.5 points and rebounds line. Let’s cash. 

Bogdan Bogdanovic Over 2 3-Pointers

Bogdan Bogdanovic is shooting a whopping 40% from deep in the Hawks last 10 games and that number jumps up to 48% in the postseason and when the Hawks play at home. Bogdanovic has shot 75%, 37.5% and 50% in the Hawks last 3 games against Boston, netting him 3, 2, and 3 3-Pointers respectively. 

In a must win game for Atlanta, players like Bogdanovic are going to need to come up big in order to send this series back to Boston for Game 7. With Bogdanovic averaging 28 minutes per game, he is going to get a lot of touches on the offensive end which will give us an good opportunity to reach our over 2 3-Pointer line. At least half of his field goal attempts come from beyond the arc. This is encouraging for over players on this line. 

While averaging 6 3-point attempts in this series and shooting at an almost 50% success rate from deep, we’re hammering the over on this line.

Bogdanovic Over 2 3-Pointers tonight. 

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