Jock MKT Super Bowl NFL Pick’em – Running Backs

Miles Sanders U 13 attempts

Philadelphia has been dominant in the run game all season, but for how long they’ll be able to lean on is far from predictable; and who will be getting those carries is even more convoluted. Philly has been spreading the carries around as of late, with Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell getting their fair share, going for 21 against SF.

Expect Sanders to go under 13 attempts, especially after Gainwell got a season high 14 carries last game. Sanders has only gone over this total in three of his last eight games and in just five times at all since Week 6. Hit the under 13 on this line.

Miles Sanders U 60.5 yards

Following the script of what is expected to be a tight game, and factoring in the Chiefs suspect secondary, it’s hard to see a scenario in which the Eagles don’t air it out to expose the weakest part of the Chiefs entire team.

Now we should expect Sanders to get his touches, but having to share them with his fellow backs referenced above does not support the line on his over. Moreover, the array of designed QB runs for Jaylen Hurts at Eagles OC Shane Steichen’s disposal could likely shake out with Hurts potentially exceeding Sanders in rushing yards on Sunday. The safe play is to go with the under 60.5 yards for Miles Sanders.  

Isiah Pacheco U 11.5 attempts

The Chiefs pass at the second-highest rate on early downs, so a close game script means their passing volume will likely be higher than usual with their run volume trending down. The return of Clyde Edwards-Helaire also caps Pacheco’s rushing attempts, as he will not only be sharing the field with the recently activated Jerrick McKinnon.

Pacheco has only gone over 11 rushing attempts once since the month of December and it is no coincidence that the Chiefs only relied heavily on the running back because it was the game Mahoney’s sprained his ankle. Go with the under 11.5 on Pacheo.

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