Fair Value Preview: Week 9

Week 9 is here and so is Jock MKT’s cash market! IPOs are set and I’m here to guide you through some of the best value plays as well of steering you clear of those who may not be able to maintain their price.

Here are the Fair Value rankings and IPO prices for Week 9 along with some of my picks!

(* denotes questionable to play)

Buy: Dalvin Cook ($6.47)

This is the definition of a smash-spot. The Lions have allowed the most points to opposing RBs this season with 6 going above 20 points. Cook is the best RB in the league not named ‘Alvin Kamara’ and will run rampant this week.

Don’t Buy: Josh Allen ($7.48)

I do not necessarily think Allen won’t perform this week against the Seahawks poor secondary, I just think this price tag is a bit lofty. We’re going on four straight weeks of subpar performances from Allen, totaling just 5 TDs while throwing 4 INTs over that period. The return of Jamal Adams along with the Seahawks’ elite LB corps could serve to limit Allen’s rushing floor forcing him to beat them with his inconsistent arm. This is a pass from the 3rd most expensive player on the board.

Buy: Chase Edmonds ($5.43)

No Kenyan Drake means Edmonds is the unquesitoned bell-cow in Arizona. Just this season he is averaging 6.1 YPC in limited exposure. That may not always translate to an extended opportunity, but in games where Edmonds garnered at least 11 touches in his career, he’s averaged more than 18 fantasy points. Buy buy buy!

Buy: James Robinson ($4.92)

Jake Luton will make the first start of his career on Sunday and will likely lean on Robinson. The Texans’ defense is plain awful, which will allow Luton to not be vastly overmatched. Known as risk-averse from his college days, he will throw Robinson plenty of checkdowns to go along with a healthy dosage of rushing attempts. Robinson’s floor and ceiling are both high.

Don’t Buy: Daniel Jones ($5.56)

Washington’s defense is sneaky very good. They’ve allowed the least passing yards per game this season and their pass rush and coverage are each top 10 in terms of Pro Footbal Focus grades. Jones, on the other hand, is not playing great football. His 256 yards against the Bucs were his most since Week 1, but he was very fortunate to only throw 2 INTs. I can’t see him improving upon this price point.

Buy: Clyde Edwards-Hellaire ($4.56)

CEH has lost almost all of his shine after a series of lackluster outings and the signing of Le’Veon Bell, but there is still unbelievable talent here in a plus situation. He ranks 3rd in the NFL in missed tackles forced and the Panthers’ run D is their weakness. They get #1 corner Rasul Douglas back this week and will sit in a very safe zone against Pat Mahomes. That should leave plenty of rushing lanes open for Clyde.

Buy: Antonio Gibson ($4.21)

This should be a positive game script for Gibson, similar to their last game against the Cowboys. Gibson ran for 128 yards on 20 carries with the WFT leading most of the way. Of course, the Giants’ run defense is far better than the Cowboys’, but sheer volume should help his price to rise on Sunday.

Don’t Buy: Melvin Gordon ($4.07)

No RB has surpassed 90 yards against the Falcons all season and only a handful have gone over 50. Gordon finds himself in a strict timeshare with Philip Lindsay with the latter being far more productive. He could save his day with a goal-line TD, but Gordon’s floor here is low.

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