Fair Value Preview: Week 8

Week 8 is here and so is Jock MKT’s cash market! IPOs are set and I’m here to guide you through some of the best value plays as well of steering you clear of those who may not be able to maintain their price.

Here are the Fair Value rankings and IPO prices for Week 8 along with some of my picks!

Buy: Davante Adams ($6.20)

The Vikings pass defense has been swiss-cheese all season and that trend will continue against the Packers this week. There is absolutely no chance Jeff Gladney or Cameron Dantzler could do so much as slow down Adams. He may be the overall top performer of the week.

Don’t Buy: Cam Newton ($5.57)

This price for Cam seems incredibly inflated. Apart from his Sunday Night heroics in Seattle, Newton has been somewhere between mediocre and awful this season. Shockingly, he has only thrown 3 passes to the right side of the field in his last two games. His inability to throw right was a key indicator of a potential lower-body injury in the past and very well could be again. Stay away.

Buy: Kareem Hunt ($5.16)

Make no mistakes, Hunt is the unquestioned RB1 in Cleveland. He was on the field for 90% of Cleveland’s hotly contested affair with the Bengals and cashed in with 22 total touches, 102 all-purpose yards, and a TD. He’s the Browns’ top playmaker and they will get him the ball as much as possible in an (expectedly) close game with the Raiders this week.

Buy: Derrick Henry ($4.85)

Feel that? Cool air, crisp breeze, leaves falling: that means it’s officially Derrick Henry season. Henry’s career YPC by month is 3.88 in September, 4.33 in October, and 5.87 in November. Well, Sunday just so happens to be the first day of November. Buy Henry confidently.

Don’t Buy: David Montgomery ($4.98)

The Saints’ defense is stout against the run game and Montgomery is just…stout. He has not averaged greater than 3.4 yards per carry in any of his last 5 games and 6 out of 9 RBs who have carried the ball more than 5 times against the Saints were held under 3.5 YPC this season. Montgomery has very limited upside.

Buy: AJ Brown ($4.55)

The Bengals’ secondary is abysmal and Brown should dominate them this Sunday. Since he returned from his bone bruise, he’s been targeted 24 times in 3 games and cashed those targets in for 18/293/4. Of course, much of that production is on the backs of big plays, but there’s no reason to believe he cannot continue to make big plays.

Buy: Tyler Boyd ($3.88)

Going into last week Joe Burrow led the NFL in dropbacks. Heading into this week, that fact remains the same. Boyd has quickly become Burrows favorite target, only earning less than 8 targets once since week 2 and should feast on intermediate routes vs the Titans weak secondary.

Don’t Buy: JK Dobbins ($3.77)

Mark Ingram probably won’t play. That’s good, but this backfield has been a mess all season and it is difficult to expect the Ravens to commit to giving Dobbins a workload that warrants this pricetag during week 8. Gus Edwards will be heavily and involved and you know Lamar will get his on the ground. Pass.

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