Fair Value Preview: Week 7

Week 7 has arrived and so has Jock MKT’s cash market! IPO szn is creeping up and I’m here to guide you through some of the best value plays as well of steering you clear of those who may not be able to maintain their value.

Here are the Fair Value rankings and IPO prices for Week 7 along with some of my picks!

Buy: Josh Allen ($7.08)

Two not-so-great weeks in a row has some people hopping off the Josh Allen bandwagon. Luckily, the Jets are next up for the Bills’ QB. Whatever you want to say about his passing, he has averaged 49 rushing yards per game in 3 career games versus the Jets to go along with finding the endzone 3 times with his legs. This rushing floor is enough to create a great buy opportunity here.

Don’t Buy: Ezekiel Elliot ($6.23) and Andy Dalton ($6.00)

It is officially time to fade all Cowboys after that disasturous showing on Monday night. Apart from the Dak injury, this entire offensive line is on the shelf. Their former strength has now become a serious weakness and Washington’s defensive line might have a field day against the depleted unit.

Buy: Matt Ryan ($5.79)

Simply put: when Julio Jones is healthy, Matty Ice delivers. In the 4 games this year when Julio was either out or banged up, Ryan did not clear 300 yards once and threw for just 5 TDs (4 of which came against the Cowboys). In Julio’s 2 healthy games, Ryan has averaged 410.5 yards and 3 TDs. The Lions’ secondary is banged up and unimpressive, buy Matt Ryan.

Buy: Kareem Hunt ($5.59)

The Browns got dusted by the Steelers and that created an poor game script for Hunt. Their upcoming matchup against the Bengals will likely allow for more opportunities to get Hunt involved. When they faced off during Week 2, Hunt AVERAGED 8.6 yards per carry. Now the unquestioned starter, he should go off

Don’t Buy: Joe Mixon ($4.64)

All the reasons to buy reasons can be used to fade Mixon. The Bengals have just one victory this season and it produced Mixon’s best game by a longshot. He popped off for 151 yards on 25 carries and found paydirt 3 times. In the Bengals’ other 5 games, he’s averaged just 55.4 rushing yards per game. This price is low, but not low enough.

Buy: Tyler Boyd ($4.11) and Tee Higgins ($3.42)

Let’s stay in Ohio, shall we? The Browns are allowing the 6th most passing yards per game to opposing offenses and Joe Burrow has the most dropbacks in the league through 6 weeks. Chances are Denzel Ward will be matched up on AJ Green which should allow Boyd and Higgins to attack the Browns’ lesser CBs.

Buy: DJ Moore ($3.91)

I will not stop beating the DJ Moore drum. The man is having a ‘pedestrian’ season that places him 12th in the league in targets and top 10 in routes run. If teams begin to key more on Robby Anderson, Moore’s explosion is imminent.

Don’t Buy: Todd Gurley ($4.15)

The volume is there, sure, but just watching Gurley run you can feel something is missing. He had just 47 yards on 20 carries against the Vikings’ last week. Results like that make me think the Falcons might try to mix in a little more Brian Hill or Ito Smith as the season wears on. Shame to think of the player Gurley was not so long ago.

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