Mitchell Robinson Over 15 Pts + Rebs
Mitchell Robinson has been an integral part of the Knicks success vs. the Cavaliers this series and has been quietly making an impact both on the boards and with points in the paint. Over his last 10 games, Robinson is averaging 11.3 rebounds and 6.4 points, taking his points and rebounds total to roughly 17 per game, an above average performance for this current 15 line tonight.
In Game 4, Robinson put up 12 points and 11 rebounds on 27 minutes of play and he is averaging 25 minutes per game this series. The Knicks center has outplayed the front court of the Cavaliers and there is a real chance here for the Knicks to close out the series on the road tonight and rest up for the next round. In order for the Knicks to do so, Robinson needs to have a repeat performance tonight.
Averaging almost 11 rebounds this series and just over 6 points, I expect Robinson to easily crush this 15 line tonight for points and rebounds. Hammer the over.
Donovan Mitchell Over 29.5 Points
Donovan Mitchell had an incredible start to this series in Game 1 where he scored 38 points in 44 minutes. Based off the Game 1 performance, it was easy to think Mitchell would dominate the series and send the Knicks packing. Since Game 1, however, Mitchell has underperformed only putting up 17, 22, and 11 points in the last 3 games of the series.
Mitchell is averaging 31 points per game this season against the Knicks and 34 points per game in the Cavaliers last 10 contests. He is the best player on the court and talentwise outweighs any player on the Knicks. In a win or go home game where the Cavaliers could be eliminated in just 5 games, I expect Mitchell to have a dominant performance at home and increase his field goal attempts. The Cavaliers’ guard shot 18 and 19 attempts in the last 2 games, but put up 30 shots in Game 1 when he scored 38. He is going to need to have a repeat performance tonight and I expect him to do so.
Take Mitchell and the over 29.5 tonight in a game that the Cavaliers should win. Let’s cash.